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Olympic Hiker
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Olympic Hiker
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PostSun Sep 12, 2021 6:02 am 
Got a bit of drizzle this morning at my house on the Key Peninsula in the South Sound.

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gb
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PostMon Sep 13, 2021 5:02 am 
NWS Seattle Discussion 9/13:

Quote:
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...Clouds will increase
through the day on Thursday as heights begin to fall in advance of
the first significant frontal system of the season. Rain will
likely reach the coast by late Thursday night then spread into the
interior early Friday morning. 24 hour precip totals for the coast
could reach one and a half to two inches, 2 to 4 inches in the
mountains, and perhaps three quarters of inch or more around
parts of Puget Sound.
Snow levels will still be relatively
high...near 8,000 feet falling to 6,000 behind the front. This
will, however, impact anyone planning to be in the higher
elevations. Prepare for quickly developing winter conditions in
the high elevations Friday afternoon and night.

A cool, upper trough settles over the region for the upcoming
weekend with showers continuing as a series of upper disturbances
rotate through the region. Cooler air aloft associated with the
upper trough will lead to some degree of instability in the
atmosphere. As such, a slight chance of thunderstorms remains in
the forecast for Saturday afternoon and evening.  27

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John Morrow
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John Morrow
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PostMon Sep 13, 2021 5:21 am 
gb wrote:
NWS Seattle Discussion 9/13:

Quote:
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...Clouds will increase
  through the day on Thursday as heights begin to fall in advance of
  the first significant frontal system of the season. Rain will
  likely reach the coast by late Thursday night then spread into the
  interior early Friday morning. 24 hour precip totals for the coast
  could reach one and a half to two inches, 2 to 4 inches in the
  mountains, and perhaps three quarters of inch or more around
  parts of Puget Sound.
Snow levels will still be relatively
  high...near 8,000 feet falling to 6,000 behind the front. This
  will, however, impact anyone planning to be in the higher
  elevations. Prepare for quickly developing winter conditions in
  the high elevations Friday afternoon and night.

  A cool, upper trough settles over the region for the upcoming
  weekend with showers continuing as a series of upper disturbances
  rotate through the region. Cooler air aloft associated with the
  upper trough will lead to some degree of instability in the
  atmosphere. As such, a slight chance of thunderstorms remains in
  the forecast for Saturday afternoon and evening.  27


2 to 4 inches!   Wonder if that's enough to raise flood concerns.  2 feet of snow above 8K!

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“Tell me, what is it you plan to do with your one wild and precious life?”-Mary Oliver

“A nation that continues year after year to spend more money on military defense than on programs of social uplift is approaching spiritual doom.”
― MLK Jr.
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pula58
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PostMon Sep 13, 2021 8:43 am 
Thank goodness for the rain (and snow!)! Even if it does foil some of our trip plans!

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zephyr
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zephyr
aka friendly hiker
PostMon Sep 13, 2021 1:28 pm 
John Morrow wrote:
Prepare for quickly developing winter conditions in
the high elevations Friday afternoon and night.

Whoa.  I had just looked at the NWS site and saw this.  Came here and gb already has it posted.

Yikes!  Winter coming already.  I hope I can get out and get another hike in before it hits.  ~z

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gb
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gb
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PostWed Sep 15, 2021 6:21 am 
This is just through Monday morning (UW mm5);


If this comes to pass it will certainly set daily and 48 hour records for the dates, and is likely to set all-time September rainfall records for one day, and even more likely for 48 hour rainfall in Washington for this month (September). This is more like a very strong November or January storm.

Look for 5' of new snow on Mt. Baker above about 7000'. (Some of the rain will fall with 9000' snow levels.)

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Nancyann
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PostWed Sep 15, 2021 10:33 am 
Started raining at noon yesterday up in the headwaters of the Chiwawa. Lots of hunters hunkered down up there waiting for the High Hunt to officially start, getting quite wet. Lots of hunter-wannabe’s staying dry, hunkered down at the Squirrel Tree Bar.

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Pyrites
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Pyrites
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PostWed Sep 15, 2021 8:58 pm 
I don’t understand the units on the map. What is the forecast precipitation range for the magenta colored area?

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Chief Joseph
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Chief Joseph
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PostWed Sep 15, 2021 9:15 pm 
Nancyann wrote:
Lots of hunter-wannabe’s staying dry, hunkered down at the Squirrel Tree Bar.

They are the smart ones, lol. For a lot of my friends in North Dakota, hunting meant driving around all day in a pickup truck and drinking beer. The deer were pretty safe.

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Go placidly amid the noise and waste, and remember what comfort there may be in owning a piece thereof.

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iron
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iron
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PostWed Sep 15, 2021 9:17 pm 
Pyrites wrote:
I don’t understand the units on the map. What is the forecast precipitation range for the magenta colored area?

cin = centi-inches.

magenta = 128 - 256, so 1.28" - 2.56"

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Pyrites
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Pyrites
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PostWed Sep 15, 2021 9:36 pm 
Merci.

I used to record the official weather at Kent, and I’d never heard the term.

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Randito
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Randito
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PostThu Sep 16, 2021 6:59 am 
Chief Joseph wrote:
Nancyann wrote:
Lots of hunter-wannabe’s staying dry, hunkered down at the Squirrel Tree Bar.

They are the smart ones, lol. For a lot of my friends in North Dakota, hunting meant driving around all day in a pickup truck and drinking beer. The deer were pretty safe.


Chief Joseph, Nancyann
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Malachai Constant
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Malachai Constant
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PostThu Sep 16, 2021 8:19 am 
Kind of like ice fishing cheers.gif

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"You do not laugh when you look at the mountains, or when you look at the sea." Lafcadio Hearn

Chief Joseph
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jaysway
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jaysway
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PostThu Sep 16, 2021 8:29 am 
Cliff Mass yesterday:

Quote:
If you were planning to take a hike on Friday, forget it.  Thinking about painting your house?  No way.

It is going to be very, very wet on Friday and early Saturday, and I suspect some daily precipitation records will be broken.

More: https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/

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Pyrites
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Pyrites
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PostThu Sep 16, 2021 2:59 pm 
There’s no paint to be bought anyway.

Too bad the Gifford Pinchot can’t be out on the ridges with drip torches today, making huckleberry habitat.

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