Forum Index > Public Lands Stewardship > Global Warming
 This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.
Previous :: Next Topic
Author Message
thunderhead
Member
Member


Joined: 14 Oct 2015
Posts: 1519 | TRs | Pics
thunderhead
Member
PostThu Oct 25, 2018 10:10 am 
Assuming a cost of $1800 dollars per kw solar installed, a yearly capacity factor of 15%(realistic for GEG), and 10c per kwh of cheap hydro available over the grid, and net metering remains in this state for that timeframe, home solar installations would pay for themselves after about 18 years of operation. 20 years is a good figure for lifespan/long range planning, so by itself this is a promising figure, being just cheaper than grid power. Adding maintenance/cleaning likely pushes the costs of home solar at GEG just above the cost of grid electricity, but we are nearing parity which is good. If one is competent enough with electricity to install and maintain them yourself, then home solar really starts to look attractive, so long as less than ~20% of your neighbors do the same thing. Once >20% of people try this, costs get prohibitive real quick and the net metering assumption will no longer be valid. EDIT: We should be able to push easy integration here above 20% because we have the awesome storage capacity of the great dams on the Columbia and its tributaries. So long as idiots are not allowed to cut down the snake river dams to save a few fish.

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
thunderhead
Member
Member


Joined: 14 Oct 2015
Posts: 1519 | TRs | Pics
thunderhead
Member
PostThu Oct 25, 2018 3:22 pm 
I think my 1800 per kw installed relies on tax subsidies. On its own it is not yet competitive in Spokane, although the end user wouldn't care about that. Bottom line is if you can install a system in eastern wa for less than ~1.5 dollars per watt, its probably a good idea.

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
thunderhead
Member
Member


Joined: 14 Oct 2015
Posts: 1519 | TRs | Pics
thunderhead
Member
PostThu Oct 25, 2018 3:49 pm 
http://www.freecleansolar.com/10kW-Solar-Kits-s/153.htm ~1.2 dollars per watt for the raw kit for a typical small home sized unit. Installation not included. If you include tax credits and are a DIYer, and live in an unshaded spot eastside and assume grid metering will continue for the next 20 years(probable in spokane) I think installation would be a good idea.

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
MtnGoat
Member
Member


Joined: 17 Dec 2001
Posts: 11992 | TRs | Pics
Location: Lyle, WA
MtnGoat
Member
PostMon Oct 29, 2018 2:58 pm 
More shenanigans...IPCC votes to redefine 'climate' in order to benefit it's claims.
Quote:
The definition of ‘climate’ adopted by the World Meteorological Organisation is the average of a particular weather parameter over 30 years. It was introduced at the 1934 Wiesbaden conference of the International Meteorological Organisation (WMO’s precursor) because data sets were only held to be reliable after 1900, so 1901 – 1930 was used as an initial basis for assessing climate. It has a certain arbitrariness, it could have been 25 years. For its recent 1.5°C report the IPCC has changed the definition of climate to what has been loosely called “the climate we are in.” It still uses 30 years for its estimate of global warming and hence climate – but now it is the 30 years centred on the present. There are some obvious problems with this hidden change of goalposts. We have observational temperature data for the past 15 years but, of course, none for the next 15 years. However, never let it be said that the absence of data is a problem for inventive climate scientists. Global warming is now defined by the IPCC as a speculative 30-year global average temperature that is based, on one hand, on the observed global temperature data from the past 15 years and, on the other hand, on assumed global temperatures for the next 15 years. This proposition was put before the recent IPCC meeting at Incheon, in the Republic of Korea and agreed as a reasonable thing to do to better communicate climate trends. Astonishingly, this new IPCC definition mixes real and empirical data with non-exiting and speculative data and simply assumes that a short-term 15-year trend won’t change for another 15 years in the future.
This is scientifically defensible for empirical reasons, how?

Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock. - Will Rogers
Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
Ski
><((((°>



Joined: 28 May 2005
Posts: 12832 | TRs | Pics
Location: tacoma
Ski
><((((°>
PostMon Oct 29, 2018 3:09 pm 
more rhetorical questions? dizzy.gif

"I shall wear white flannel trousers, and walk upon the beach. I have heard the mermaids singing, each to each."
Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
MtnGoat
Member
Member


Joined: 17 Dec 2001
Posts: 11992 | TRs | Pics
Location: Lyle, WA
MtnGoat
Member
PostMon Oct 29, 2018 5:57 pm 
I don't do rhetorical. smile.gif Questions don't become rhetorical, just because some don't want to answer them. So from here on out, remember...the IPCC has voted to ditch the classical, empirical definition of climate as something has already occurred, and been empirically measured..... in favor of a definition which includes their predictions.

Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock. - Will Rogers
Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
MtnGoat
Member
Member


Joined: 17 Dec 2001
Posts: 11992 | TRs | Pics
Location: Lyle, WA
MtnGoat
Member
PostThu Nov 01, 2018 4:39 pm 
Open letter by climate scientists to Heads Of State ..
Quote:
We are writing as scientists, scholars, and concerned citizens to warn you of a persistent anti-nuclear bias in the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report on keeping global temperatures from rising 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels.[1]
Quote:
The anti-nuclear bias of this latest IPCC release is rather blatant,” said Kerry Emanuel, a climate scientist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “and reflects the ideology of the environmental movement. History may record that this was more of an impediment to decarbonization than climate denial.
Scientists push back on IPCC bias against power systems even I'd vote for...

Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock. - Will Rogers
Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
Ski
><((((°>



Joined: 28 May 2005
Posts: 12832 | TRs | Pics
Location: tacoma
Ski
><((((°>
PostThu Nov 01, 2018 6:07 pm 
just between you and me and the wall, I don't think there's a lot of distance between you and I when it comes to opinions about the IPCC.

"I shall wear white flannel trousers, and walk upon the beach. I have heard the mermaids singing, each to each."
Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
thunderhead
Member
Member


Joined: 14 Oct 2015
Posts: 1519 | TRs | Pics
thunderhead
Member
PostFri Nov 02, 2018 2:59 pm 
Cost Effective Carbon-Free Nuclear Free choose up to 2 (If you are as poorly managed as Germany choose 0, lol)

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
gb
Member
Member


Joined: 01 Jul 2010
Posts: 6310 | TRs | Pics
gb
Member
PostSun Nov 04, 2018 10:10 am 
This recent study published by the National Academy of Sciences shows that 55% of the increases in forest fire activity in the last four decades in the Western United States is attributable to ACC (Anthropomorphic Climate Change). The increase is tied to observed changes in the metrics of a number of measures of fuel aridity across the west, most of which have become manifest since the early 1980's and show an increasing divergence from what would be expected based on natural climate variability in that period. It is a good read and shows the ridiculousness of the Mass blog on forest fires this August. Increase in Forest Fire acreage (hectares) burned in the Western US in recent decades

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
thunderhead
Member
Member


Joined: 14 Oct 2015
Posts: 1519 | TRs | Pics
thunderhead
Member
PostSun Nov 04, 2018 6:53 pm 
Industrialization of the US west has caused a overwealming decrease in forest fires

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
MtnGoat
Member
Member


Joined: 17 Dec 2001
Posts: 11992 | TRs | Pics
Location: Lyle, WA
MtnGoat
Member
PostSun Nov 04, 2018 10:10 pm 
They use modeling to argue their claims, hence the claims are no more accurate than the modeling failures. Heck, last week it was claimed the oceans ate even more heat than was believed...which itself is yet another implicit statement of finding massive error in projections and models.

Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock. - Will Rogers
Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
gb
Member
Member


Joined: 01 Jul 2010
Posts: 6310 | TRs | Pics
gb
Member
PostMon Nov 05, 2018 12:17 pm 
thunderhead wrote:
Industrialization of the US west has caused a overwealming decrease in forest fires
That is baloney. For one statistics before satellites are not very accurate. Secondly, there wasn't the technology of aircraft, fire suppression chemicals and equipment to fight and control fire perimeters until fairly recently. In any case, you apparently couldn't comprehend the National Academy of Sciences published study that proved the correlation between ACC and fire acreage burned since 1984 when climate changes started to become obvious. That is the period of this study. You just need to spend some time learning how to read the graphs in the study. Start with the first graph, Fig 1!

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
gb
Member
Member


Joined: 01 Jul 2010
Posts: 6310 | TRs | Pics
gb
Member
PostMon Nov 05, 2018 12:18 pm 
MtnGoat wrote:
They use modeling to argue their claims, hence the claims are no more accurate than the modeling failures. Heck, last week it was claimed the oceans ate even more heat than was believed...which itself is yet another implicit statement of finding massive error in projections and models.
some random words and labels - talking points, political but meaningless.

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
thunderhead
Member
Member


Joined: 14 Oct 2015
Posts: 1519 | TRs | Pics
thunderhead
Member
PostMon Nov 05, 2018 12:29 pm 
Quote:
Secondly, there wasn't the technology of aircraft, fire suppression chemicals and equipment to fight and control fire perimeters until fairly recently.
All powered by fossil fuels, reducing forest fires by a massive amount. As you can see, the exploitation of fossil fuels has done far more good than harm. Thanks for helping to prove my point gb.

Back to top This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies. Reply with quote Send private message
   All times are GMT - 8 Hours
 This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.
Forum Index > Public Lands Stewardship > Global Warming
  Happy Birthday Lead Dog, dzane, The Lead Dog, Krummholz!
Jump to:   
Search this topic:

You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum