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altersego
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PostSat Sep 15, 2018 9:18 pm 
Don’t leave the psychics off that list!

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Ski
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PostSat Sep 15, 2018 9:33 pm 
Two cents worth: I mentioned previously the debacle of Floyd Collins in 1925, as well as the 1951 Billy Wilder movie that was inspired by the Collins story. Not sure how many of you bothered to take a look at either, but: This sort of mass hysteria is certainly nothing new. This is just the most recent iteration of the "We must DO something!" mantra that comes out of mob mentality. The big forest fires of 1910 were another example, and (to a degree) the Yellowstone fires of 1988. I would suggest not getting your knickers all in a twist because of the cacophony generated by the "Facebook" mob. The vast majority of those people have zero actual investment in Sam Sayers - they've just become part of the herd clicking "like" buttons and "re-Tweeting" the rhetoric. I'm going to trust that Mr. Forbes has the situation well in hand, and more than likely will get (if necessary) the full cooperation of the Snohomish County Sheriff's Office and any other agencies he needs to avail himself to should things start to go sideways. As has been noted several times, the weather is changing, and it will most certainly change for the worse in fairly short order at 5000 feet above sea level. Clearly very few of these people involved have the requisite experience and knowledge to venture too far from the trailhead. Those that do start going uphill are going to get a great big dose of unforgiving reality within the next week or so. My old man used to tell me that there's nothing to be gained by getting into a pissing match with a skunk. Let the "Facebook" crowd rave away - it will serve only to convince those in the positions of authority that they're dealing with a bunch of kooks.

"I shall wear white flannel trousers, and walk upon the beach. I have heard the mermaids singing, each to each."
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Frango
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PostSat Sep 15, 2018 9:47 pm 
Ski wrote:
I'm going to trust that Mr. Forbes has the situation well in hand, and more than likely will get (if necessary) the full cooperation of the Snohomish County Sheriff's Office and any other agencies he needs to avail himself to should things start to go sideways.
Peter Forbes is a good guy. I wouldn’t want to be in his, or anyone else’s shoes who has to deal with this mess. And I surely wouldn’t want to be the poor schmuck whose job it was to pick up the phone in the office come Monday...I’m almost tempted to deliver cookies and coffee to the office, along with a note of thanks!

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BigBrunyon
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PostSat Sep 15, 2018 9:54 pm 
I bet its storming up there now!!! Its probably a chaos scene in camp as we speak, tent walls being breached by the rain, everyone frantically trying to patch it up, bud garula carl is probably yelling orders at everyone! Utter chaos

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peppersteak'n'ale
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PostSat Sep 15, 2018 10:02 pm 
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Anne Elk
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PostSat Sep 15, 2018 10:38 pm 
pahoehoe wrote:
I wonder why this one has gotten so out of control.
MtnGoat's astute one-liner downthread: "Emotional incontinence seems to be encouraged by access to social media." This extract from Peter Forbes email to the Kevins seems to be the main bone of contention, ie, to them it implies that enviro concerns are more important than a person:
Quote:
I am requesting you to consider the following modifications to your plans: In the search area, the only footprint should be backpack based camps. Anything going up to those higher elevations should be carried in by people, not helicopters. If you want to have a small satellite camp of tents up there, that is workable. The command post needs to be set up in an area that is less fragile and not along the trail.
And he subsequently denied their helo contractor a clearance. According to FreeSolo's first-person encounter with the search team, not one team member has any technical climbing skills. Garuda Bud characterizes the 49th Parallel gang on his gofundme page as an "experienced group of mountaineers". The public (and family) have no idea they're being sandbagged; even BF Kevin seems not to realize the risks involved. One of our members has a tagline quote: "Ignorance is natural. Stupidity takes commitment." It's the truth. Makes one want to compel people who insist on ignoring expert advice and doing it their way to sign "waivers of rescue".

"There are yahoos out there. It’s why we can’t have nice things." - Tom Mahood
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ale_capone
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 6:09 am 
i truly hope they find her before it snows. for closure, and because it will be impossible after. the dangers of winter camping are getting a little overblown here. went out with josh lewis once on keyes peak. he was stronger, and more careful then i thought he would be. i wont call him a performer, but i think he had a colorful writing style that could make a benign slip on a heather slope sound gripping. i liked him and his reports. his early Columbia peak trip report is one of my favorite reports by anyone. duct tape socks... classic.

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Freesolo
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 7:11 am 
Yana wrote:
Kris Fowler's mother is still searching for him.
I wouldn't say that's accurate. I'd say Sally Fowler is grieving and creating a narrative about her dead stepson Kris Fowler. If Sally would listen to the experts then Kris would have been found. No organized search has ever taken place for Kris in the area that the most respected and seasoned SAR guy directed them to look. WHY? Because Sally wants to think Kris got further north than that. Grief and loss can take a toll on a person and the decisions they make influenced by these forces dismay and surprise people trying to help them. The Fowler search just did a helo flyover of the PCT north of the HWY 20 to look for Kris who was last seen at White Pass in 2016. That section of the PCT was already closed to hikers for snow and PCT hikers were finishing on the east side of Ross Lake in mid to late October 2016. This is confirmed by other hikers in that area at that time. SO why spend funds to overfly a trail area that was closed and hundreds of miles further than Kris was last seen???? Grief and the stories we want to tell about people we lose. Now that the Sayers aren't using a helo maybe they can use some of the saved money to reestablish the reward. The reward was the only chance of putting something on the other side of the equal sign. Rewards have been used throughout history to great effect in solving some of the most difficult issue of an era. The longitudinal prize, baking soda, and the lunar prizes come to mind. Why not just pay one person or company to figure out the Longitude problem? They may not have the answer or be able to figure out the answer. So a prize is payment for completion of a task that no known person has the answer or solution to. The Sayers say they canceled the reward because The John Francis Foundation warned it would bring in unqualified searchers. But then they hire Budd Carr???? I'd guess the John Francis Foundation didn't get any traction with a reward from their own case because John Francis got lost in the middle of no where Idaho where there is a small population. Washington State has 7.5 million people and millions of them live in the Puget Sound Basin with road access to Vesper. Seattle also has a large climbing community that frequents the Vesper area. So in this case the 20k reward was very important and honestly the only thing that would bring Sam home at this point. Looking for hikers that SAR has given up on is my new hobby. There are many active cascade cold cases in Washington. When i decide how to spend my time looking for a lost person in the Wilderness it's sure nice to have a little carrot of a payment for all of the time, money, effort and risk i take to do this. I've spent almost 40 days looking for Kris Fowler Sherpa, not counting me sitting at home staring at the map or calling witnesses, speaking with the sheriff and so on. The reward for Kris Fowler is 10k. 10k divided by 40 days is $250 a day. I make more at work and so far have earned zero for my efforts. This is a labor of love and even if there's a reward no one is getting rich looking for cascade cold cases. But when you make the reward zero and i'm trying to decide how to spend my time.....lost people with a reward take precedence. I misspoke, lost people with no reward have been surrendered to the wilderness by their Families. The last point i'll make about canceling the reward to give more time to Kevin and Budd is this. If they were going to find Sam it most likely would have happened in the last 30 days. They had a month of great weather and a lot of support and it didn't happen. What are they going to different now with shorter, wetter, colder days? Reestablish the prize and theres a chance they'll get answers next summer.

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moonspots
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 7:40 am 
Frango wrote:
Ski wrote:
I'm going to trust that Mr. Forbes has the situation well in hand, and more than likely will get (if necessary) the full cooperation of the Snohomish County Sheriff's Office and any other agencies he needs to avail himself to should things start to go sideways.
Peter Forbes is a good guy. I wouldn’t want to be in his, or anyone else’s shoes who has to deal with this mess. And I surely wouldn’t want to be the poor schmuck whose job it was to pick up the phone in the office come Monday...I’m almost tempted to deliver cookies and coffee to the office, along with a note of thanks!
I like that idea! If I were out there, I'd go along with you to help, and contribute. At least from here, I can send a note of thanks.

"Out, OUT you demons of Stupidity"! - St Dogbert, patron Saint of Technology
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rbuzby
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 7:54 am 
altersego wrote:
Don’t leave the psychics off that list!
There is one person on facebook who posted something like: "Tell them to look for 2 boulders close together! I'm feeling like 2 boulders could be important." Talk about not understanding the terrain........ So, I wonder which of us is the one that "sounds conspiratorial" according the the FB army"? The videos posted in the last couple weeks by Kevin and the survivalist guy promoted the idea that Sam is alive and waiting to be found, and if they can just get enough money and gear and volunteers they can go find her. They intentionally spread a message that omitted the fact that she is most likely deceased, and that resulted 10's of thousands in donations of money and gear. Was that by accident? The survivalist guy has no special skills to bring to the search, he is not even a mountaineer, unless you define that in the broadest possible sense. Nobody that is going up there to search now is going to do anything but walk over terrain that is safe to walk on, and all of that has already been searched. A real serious body recovery effort would be searching dangerous technical terrain below the north face, the area on the map Schroder posted. But they don't have the skills to search there, and people that do probably think it's not worth the risk to recover a body. They don't need a base camp to hike around up there in the rain, and that is all they are proposing to do. If Kevin is getting his FB army to attack the Forest Service, and pretending like he is being stopped from rescuing Sam, he needs to get a grip on himself.

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ale_capone
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 8:00 am 
solid stuff freesolo. i cant recall. was there any new snow when fowler went missing? how far north do you think he made it?

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rbuzby
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 8:10 am 
Operation Relentless Pursuit has been formed and in action with non-stop search for Sam. With nearly 34,000 followers and volunteers, the search will continue until Sam is found. After exhaustive Action Plans, Incident Action Plans, Standard Operations Procedures have been compiled and approved, and all supplies needed have been obtained, many through donations, Operations Relentless Pursuit was hit by a last-minute critical and unnecessary roadblock. "Action Plans, Incident Action Plans, Standard Operations Procedures..." This phrase has appeared in several communications from Kevin recently. It sounds like someone trying to BS their way into sounding organized. The same way the recent press release made it sound like some kind of paramilitary operation, with fancy titles for everybody. This group just causes the BS meter to redline. But they have everyone on Facebook convinced. "Please don't let bureaucracy come before a human life" Another quote from FB. This is really bad stuff to be spreading. They are trying to rile up everyone into thinking that she is alive but the forest service wont let them go rescue her. Inciting people with a false narrative. Creating a twitter frenzy. Why would anyone or agency want to hold up this mission to bring home someone's daughter? Please help us remove roadblocks!!!! Peter Forbes refused permit for base camp to Sam Sayers volunteer search party. This is cruel especially since they followed all the rules. Denied last minute. Please share her story to get them help finding her. This last minute blocking of search efforts is unacceptable and it is further risking the safety of searchers. The Forest Service has brought a family paid search for their daughter to a screeching halt at Vesper Peak! PLEASE HELP US RIGHT THIS WRONG! PLEASE! The Forest Service is putting up OBSTACLES to hinder the search to #findsamsayers. PLEASE COVER THIS HEARTBREAKING TWIST TO THE STORY. No. More. Red. Tape. #findSamSayers mom told she can’t continue search!?! Why are they making this so difficult!?! Why isn’t anybody covering it? @cnnbrk @cnn @FoxNews @abcnews @CBSNews @NBCNews @HuffPost @JayInslee @USForests Please Retweet! @IMKristenBell @TheEllenShow @FindSamSayers Do the right thing. Put people first. Let LOVE AND COMPASSION take over. #findsamsayers Put yourself in Samantha Sayers' family's shoes - your daughter/fiancee is missing since August 1 and bureaucratic red tape is preventing a safe, professionally planned private search. URGENT HELP is needed. @TODAYshow @USATODAY @WPXI @KDKA @CNN @forestservice @SandersHuckabee The Darrington Ranger Station in WA has no intention of reviewing request to issue a permit to search for Sam Sayers. Peter Forbes called off helicopters 19 minutes b4 closing & left for vaca. WE NEED A STRONG VOICE. Pls help us @FindSamSayers #findsamsayers Let's hope nobody gets too excited and does anything irrational.

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rongoms
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 10:09 am 
Well, I've been compelled to stop lurking and jump into this morass. Full disclosure: I'm not an avid hiker. I'm a SAR guy and have been involved in one way or another in this ....."situation" almost since the beginning. I look at things through that lens. Here's an interesting conversation between one of the admins of the "secret" #findsamsayers group which was created for the "active" members of the amateur search team. I think it's pretty telling of the mindset of the people involved, as has been discussed previously. it's not edited in any way, other than adding back the FB formatting for clarity. Ron Goins Reality Check time: Environmental law specialists are virtually always on the side of RESTRICTING access to protected areas, not forcing the Forest Service and DNR to allow someone to destroy (other people's terms, not mine) protected lands. You can't get an injunction to allow something, just to deny it, pending review. That's a non-starter. And don't forget it's an election year in an area with very militant environmental activists. It's highly unlikely that any politician is going to go against that lobby for the sake of a search effort. It's a losing battle and the financial resources it would require would be better spent setting up a base camp in an approved area and getting on with the recovery. While being at the lake is convenient, it's not required for the operation. In the professional SAR world, we very often operate of of bases that are quite removed from the search area, for a multitude of reasons, environmental concerns being one, but speed of action being another. Instead of digging in the heels and fighting for a specific location (which will simply not happen, regardless of how many change.org petitions there are), set up wherever you can and GET ON WITH THE OPERATION. I'm fully expecting to get a tonne of opposition to this position, assuming it's not simply deleted outright, but reality is often not a popular place to live. I suppose it comes down to a choice between what someone wants vs. what everyone wants. And what everyone wants is closure. Right? Ericka Minger Hi Ron. The great thing about this group it that we all have different talents and knowledge bases. It's unfortunate that you have such a negative view of someone else's position. You're more than free to follow the direction you feel led. But you aren't aware of potential donations and legal options available outside your knowledge base. Why you'd stand firmly opposed here is confusing to me. The goal here--is to find Sam. The goal here--is to use our wide stretching abilities, minds, and connections to do so. Your message doesn't feel helpful to those goals and you clearly know that since you stated that its not inline with the groups objectives of love + light = best way to bring Sam home. So, would you just pull it down please? Ron Goins It's not "negative", it's reality. I'm painfully aware of legal and financial realities of these kinds of operations. I live it every day. If everyone here really, truly wants to find Sam, then they need to accept that everything is not always "Love and Light". The best way to bring Sam home is for committed people to best use the resources they have and fighting a losing battle is simply not the best way to do that. Get set up and get out in the woods while the area is still accessible. You must agree that the team has an obligation to the people who have donated money and time to this effort to use those resources responsibly. I'm not saying that it hasn't been, but hiring a lawyer for $10k (or more) with no guarantee of success vs. getting teams out to the search area and providing them food and logistical support is a pretty easy decision, in any rational person's mind. I'm not going to take it down, as i think that a reality-based voice needs to be inserted in this effort. If that's me, fine, if it's someone else, even better. If the Admins want to silence someone simply because they're trying to present an informed, real-world opinion, well....than that's pretty telling. Ericka Minger Ron Goins You’re making assumptions that the money used for legal fees like this come from the funding operation. This group has outlined how they would like to proceed. Love and light is the theme. If that’s not for you, perhaps you should exit. As for this post, I can manage it’s viewership since I created it. Just wanted to provide you an opportunity to remove your remarks first. Ron Goins Well...yes, that's about what I expected. Make sure you silence anyone who disagrees with you. Truth, be damned. I'm all for positivity, but denial isn't actually a positive place. If you really think that throwing money at a lawyer is a better idea than boots on the ground, then perhaps you should examine your motivation for being in this effort in the first place. Feel free to censor this post, as you're clearly inclined to do, because no reality-based dissention allowed, right? It's just going to appear elsewhere anyway.

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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 10:24 am 
rbuzby wrote:
Inciting people with a false narrative. Creating a twitter frenzy.
Exactly. A growing problem in our post-truth world.

“The beauty of things was born before eyes and sufficient to itself; the heartbreaking beauty Will remain when there is no heart to break for it.”
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PostSun Sep 16, 2018 10:49 am 
ale_capone wrote:
solid stuff freesolo. i cant recall. was there any new snow when fowler went missing? how far north do you think he made it?
Ale, that story of yours and the kid on the boulder was good stuff. The entire universe aligned for you too be right there, right then, with your pooch. You saved that guys life. Well done. So, here's the reader digest version of the Kris Fowler disappearance as I lived it for the last 14 months. First some basic facts. MP (mile Post) on the PCT on the "Half Mile Maps" free online and used by most thru hikers. White Pass MP 2292 Oct 12th 3:30pm Highway 410 MP 2321 Urich Cabin MP 2345 Hunters sighting MP 2354 Oct 22nd 10:00am Tacoma Pass MP 2361 Stampede Pass MP2372 Snoqualmie Pass MP2391 Kris Fowler Sherpa left White Pass and headed north on the PCT at 3:30 pm on 12 OCT 16. That's where the "facts" get soft. The problem with the Fowler search isn't not enough leads but too many. Kris was next "seen" on 14 OCT 16 at 2pm by a Bar Keep at Greenwater Tavern who says Kris showed up and had a glass of water. Kris was next seen by two bear hunters close to blowout mountain on 22 OCT 16 at 10am, they reported he was headed north at a good stride. Kris was sighted crossing the I-90 by Cle Elum from a Woman passing in her car at 60mph in darkness. Kris was sighted at the Safeway in Cle Elum. Kris had a smoke with a Lady outside of a bus station in Mount Vernon and told her he was on his way too Mazama to finish the PCT. Kris was sighted by a store clerk in Mazama at The Goats Beard climbing shop. The biggest lead was this one....The guy that didn't see Kris but then may have saw him. Alex Wit. Mr. Wit was camped 20 miles north of White Pass on the night of 12 OCT 16 and spent 13 OCT 16 walking 20 miles south into White Pass. Upon arriving in White Pass at 6:50pm 13 OCT 16, Mr. Wit signed the register "Coldest wettest day hiking ever." Alex later told me that in those moments "he could barley use his hands." The first SAR Official that caught up with Alex Wit is a guy I'll call The God Father. The GF is a 35 year SAR vet in the PNW. he's also quite an astute individual as I understand. I haven't met the GF. But after a year of digging I wish i had listened a lot sooner. Now when the GF speaks i sit quietly and hang on his every word. I'll circle back to this. Trace is a thru hiker that actually met and hiked with Kris Fowler on the PCT in 2016, that was in California. Trace contacted me when he saw I was running this down and tried in vain to convince me to look just north of White Pass. Trace reasoned Kris was gaunt, had bad gear and perished just north of White Pass on the evening of 13 OCT 16. I wouldn't listen. The problem was, the only information the responding sheriff had to go on was the bear hunters sighting on Blowout. So the sheriff sent SAR to search Blowout in NOV 16. By that time Blowout was covered with two feet of snow. The SAR people that searched told the Fowler Family that in the past people had missed a switchback going north down Blowout and would wind up in a valley with no road the the SE. These two events started the BLOWOUT DISTRACTION. What cemented the BD was later that year SAR held a conference table exercise with Fowler as their protagonist and sent the written results to Kris's Step MOM Sally Fowler. In this report they theorized that Kris got to blowout in a whiteout and lost his way in the snow. Enter local huntress Andrea K who hunts blowout every year archery elk with her BF Josh. Andrea and Josh are both great kids and have an encyclopedic knowledge of blowout. So every year they host a search around blowout and last month at Stampede which is north of Blowout. Here's the problem, Kris never made it to Blowout or the Bear hunters. The bear hunters have a pic of them at a ball game in Seattle on the day that they said they met Kris hunting. Enter J from LA, she's an LA trophy Wife with an amazing mind an interest in missing people and some spare time. So, she must have been Perry Mason in a former life, she digs up an Instagram post of Stampede Pass on 23 OCT 16 and it's bare and wet. Stop the press. How did Kris get lost in two feet of snow, six miles south of Stampede Pass when the next day it's bare and wet? That's when blowout and the witnesses started to unravel. I'll skip over some other things J figured out but she was instrumental in opening my eyes. The Sheriff told me if Kris pops up on the radar he'll know, i'll spare you the details out of respect for the Sheriff, but he'll know. For any of these eye witness accounts to be true a list of other things then had to be true. For instance, if Kris made it to Mazama, then Kris made it to the I-90 and didn't use his debit card, didn't text, call or email anyone. Somehow without the use of his cell phone he fed and transited himself to Mazama and carried on up the PCT without singing a single trail register as he had been doing. Every sighting became a reach at best. Every lead i chased down was dead end and i spoke with every witness, the Family, The Sheriff and SAR. It was all smoke and mirrors. The God Father met with Alex Wit and got his gps track from 13 OCT 16. The weather starting at midnight 12 OCT 16 through 15 OCT 16 was epic at the remnants of Typhoon Sondga. "How a super typhoon got sucked into a jet stream and spawned the storm that’s barreling right for us" Originally published October 13, 2016 at 7:53 pm Updated October 14, 2016 at 7:19 am The God Father knew as soon as he had the information from Wit what had happened. Kris died on 13 OCT 16 in the above storm of hypothermia. The fact that Wit didn't see him on his way south confirms that Kris either was lost off the PCT or hypotermic by mid afternoon on the 13th and Kris never spoke with any person after the clerk at The Cracker Barrel in White Pass. On the morning of the 14th from his hotel in White Pass Alex Wit said there was snow half way down the ski area at White pass. The weather station history tells us that 5 inches of rain fell in 48 hours and the temps were going above and below freezing on the PCT where Kris was. Kris walked north into this storm with sandals for footwear, a nylon rain coat with a spray-on coating and a down bag. He was prolly 7% body fat. Wit is a big guy with i'd guess 28% body fat, Wit had a goretex coat and boots and was losing elevation throughout his day. Trace came and stayed at my house for three days this year to talk about Kris and how to find him. Trace wanted to walk grids on the map that the God Father made until he founds Kris. I wanted to fly my drone and take footage to spot Kris's blue items. Trace went to Sally who has a 27k gofund me for Kris and asked her if she'd pay for his food to conduct said search. She said no. Honestly that was one of the best chances to find Kris and they turned it down at HELLO. I was honestly worried that Trace was going to get the 10k. I did a three day ATV search north of Blowout that covered 300 miles of closed logging roads looking for Kris. It was paid for by a Woman back east and cost almost $1000 to rent. When it was done Sally said "more roads need to be searched south of Blowout." I again volunteered my time but Sally said she wouldn't pay for it. I was making drone flights for Kris like the ones for Sam but the Fowlers and their inside team told me they were of no use. They told me i did the ATV search to "have fun" When I asked the for three more drone batteries to double my flight time for Kris they accused me of being a conman and they assassinate my character. What's sad is the search for Kris has devolved into shotgun, chase every little lead, lost pack and trash anywhere in Washington on the PCT. It's a disaster in a different way than the Sayers. I was three flight days into the Fowler search this summer when the Sam thing happened. Next summer i'll look for Kris again if there's no reward for Sam. Check my youtube below if you'd like to see the drone videos from blowout mountain for Kris Fowler Sherpa.... No good deed goes unpunished.

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