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Riverside Laker
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PostSun Feb 10, 2019 12:28 pm 
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When I was a kid, we had to walk 10.... feet... to change channels on our TV set, snow on the screen both ways, and it was 65 degrees and we thought that was nothing. Then we had to walk back to the antenna to fix the signal, and there was more snow when you were near the antenna. Then my brother, who had to sit on the floor, would get mad because the snow got worse, and he'd shake so bad his hot chocolate burned his thigh. I'm just kidding about the hot chocolate. We didn't get that, we had to drink water.
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Kim Brown
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PostSun Feb 10, 2019 1:53 pm 
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At least your brother had a floor to sit on. We lived in a mud puddle. It wasn't too bad until winter. We had to sleep with Pulaski's because after a freeze, we'd have to chop each other out of the ice to get to school.

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" I'm really happy about this! … I have very strong good and horrible memories up there."  – oldgranola, NWH’s outdoors advocate.
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Kascadia
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PostSun Feb 10, 2019 2:15 pm 
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But we were happier then. clown.gif

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gb
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PostMon Feb 11, 2019 11:35 am 
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Early on, the weather models looked like Seattle would remain very cold but significant snow was no certainty because, as in the track of the first snowstorm, most of the moisture would remain offshore as the systems dropped south to California. But with successive models colder periods became interspersed more and more with warmer onshore flow. That trend continues. It increasingly looks that Seattle will transition to more nearly normal winter weather. A few shorter cool to cold periods still show up out to the 20th to 24th but each new set of models heads less and less to this. Usually when a trend in weather models heads in some particular direction, at least for awhile, change continues and acelerates in that direction. It wouldn't be surprising that it becomes warm and wet around or shortly after the 20th as opposed to the earlier view (through models) of cold and mostly dry.

EDITED: This mornings GFS has gone back to a cooler to colder solution after Friday and back to current near surface freezing levels after the 20th with a cold air mass near us in SW BC. But, rather warm air is not far west on several days. So, time will tell. In any case we will see a period with somewhat higher snow levels until Saturday.

Last night's NWS discussion still voiced uncertainty and was somewhat confident that north of Everett or a bit father north that all would be snow. Now it looks like rain (probably freezing rain for awhile) will fall even in the far north. The trend.

It was kind of neat while it lasted, I liked actually seeing winter weather. Perhaps, to this extent for the last time in my lifetime. I hiked along the Sauk, watched sunset at Discovery Park, and walked Ollalie State Park. I thought about cross-country skiing on a golf course as I had done a number of times years ago.

9am NWS discussion:

Quote:
.SYNOPSIS...A warm front will move through Western Washington this

afternoon and tonight. Many portions of the lowlands will see the

snow turn to rain. The precipitation will taper off to scattered

showers Tuesday and Wednesday. Another weather system will arrive

later in the week with heavy mountain snow likely.



&&



.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...Snow will increase through

the afternoon as a warm front arrives. With offshore pressure

gradients the precip will remain snow for awhile--but as the

southerlies kick in this evening the snow will will turn to

rain for many lowland areas. Naturally the coast and southwest

will turn to rain first, but the change will come pretty quick

around Puget Sound and near the water this evening too. The

UW wrfgfs shows Port Angeles getting skunked tonight--probably due

to a typical precip shadowing effect so the winter storm warning for

the Admiralty Inlet area and the eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca zone

will be downgraded to a winter weather advisory. For the most part

the forecast is in good shape as southerlies scouring the cool air

is fairly certain. The Seattle metro area will see the coolest temps

of the night early before the change to rain while away from the

water and for locations that have a little elevation we might see

the snow hang on longer. Whatcom county usually takes a long time to

scour out.





.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...It looks like we will be

moving into a pattern where the snow level is low and the mountains

do well for snowfall--but the lowlands could be done with the snow.

Maybe there will be some shallow Fraser outflow at times, but mostly

the cold air over B.C. will moderate to the point that takes the

lowlands out of play for wintry weather--and the over-water

trajectory of frontal systems will be much more typical.

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gb
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PostSun Feb 17, 2019 8:06 am 
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With cooler but not as cold air beginning to come in once again the NWS said this:

Quote:
Fraser river outflow winds over the North Interior are a little

behind schedule Bellingham to Williams Lake gradient -10 mb

instead of the predicted -15 mb. The gradients is becoming more

negative with time so have just slowed down the onset of the

outflow winds today. With the gradient peaking around

-15 mb and most of the cold air bottled up over British Columbia

will keep the winds below advisory levels. It will be another cool

day with highs int he upper 30s and lower 40s. Through the 16th

Seattle is 8 degrees below normal for the month. This is the 4th

coldest first 16 days of February in the 75 years of records at

Sea-Tac and the coldest in the last 30 years. The 3 years that

were colder 1989, 1949 and 1956.




Northerly flow aloft continuing tonight with the slow drying of

the air mass continuing. With the decreasing cloud cover it is

going to be another chilly morning on Monday, most places will be

in the 20s. 
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