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Eric Hansen
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PostThu Mar 04, 2021 9:17 pm 
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https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_summary.php
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Gil
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PostFri Mar 05, 2021 7:53 am 
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That is scary.

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BeardoMcGrath
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PostFri Mar 05, 2021 11:20 am 
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That NWS map matches pretty well with areas that are above and below average for snowpack this year. Above average in WA, OR, and ID, but below average in CA, NV, UT and CO. A classic La Niña setup!
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gb
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PostFri Mar 05, 2021 12:17 pm 
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California is supposed to be starting to get some snow beginning next week. Thus far SWE is 50% of normal there.

Although the snowpack is near normal at Mission Ridge, it has been extremely dry a bit farther east; Yakima I think has had less than an inch of rain since the beginning of the year. Quite likely a mediocre flower season in the shrub steppe.
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Eric Hansen
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PostFri Mar 05, 2021 12:22 pm 
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Gil, yep it is scary. I'm starting to see some scientists using the word desertification, rather than drought. I guess drought implies cyclical but what they think they are seeing is not temporary but a long term trend towards greater dryness.
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Mountainfisherman
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PostTue Mar 09, 2021 4:59 am 
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Yakima has had above average precipitation by about .5 inches in Jan/Feb. Despite recent warm temps still plenty of snow lingering on Umptanum/Manastash/Clemans Mtn. Which bodes well for a decent flower season.
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Eric Hansen
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PostSun Mar 14, 2021 9:58 am 
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"The megadrought parching 77 percent of the Western US, explained
Rising temperatures and lack of rain threaten to decrease water supplies and bring more wildfires this summer and in the years to come."

https://www.vox.com/2021/3/13/22324813/drought-california-snow-rain-west-colorado-wildfire-farms-water-climate-change

Interesting article, but if you have been paying attention perhaps not much new in the contents
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Pyrites
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PostSun Mar 14, 2021 11:44 pm 
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Does this week’s snow affect this?
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Eric Hansen
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PostThu Mar 18, 2021 9:46 am 
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Can't hurt.
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BeardoMcGrath
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PostThu Mar 18, 2021 10:27 am 
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Bureau of Reclamation is projecting Lake Powell will be below 3550 ft by the end of the 2020-2021 water year, the lowest since 2005. The upshot is that it will be a good time in the next year to visit some of the lower Escalante canyons as the lake recedes.

Water Year Projections
Water Year Projections
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Eric Hansen
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PostMon Mar 29, 2021 7:28 pm 
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Yeah, Lake Powell is dropping. Back in the late 90's I used to take the tour boat in to Rainbow Bridge from Page, strap tele skis to my pack and go up Navajo Mt. Despite my modest ski skills I thought I should attempt a ski traverse. Couch sized talus (half snow, half talus) on the Northeast Ridge persuaded me to stop, enjoy the ambience, return the way I came in. Canyons were gorgeous, views from the top mesmerizing. Did four ski trips there. Two approaching from land, two from the lake.

November 2019 we were nearby and took the tour boat in. The lake had receded a lot and the dock was farther from the arch. Still an incredible place.
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Sky Hiker
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PostThu Apr 01, 2021 5:24 am 
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150% of normal snow fall in the Stevens Pass area this year that's pretty encouraging
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Eric Hansen
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PostThu Apr 01, 2021 10:07 am 
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All good Skywalker. Checking the maps, Washington state seems by far the least impacted, most near normal, most not in drought, state in the West.

I'm not the expert, and got no desire to be an angel of doom. Just passing on information that might be useful for trip planning for much of the West.
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